How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
47%5.08%
5.05%5.55%
Above today's price —
Install
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
The odds
36%Below 4.65%
5Y Yield now 5.019 −0.04% 4.6%4.98%
Above today's price —
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 4.65% | 36% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 41¢ | $353 |
| Below 4.70% | 36% | ▲ 2 | 16¢ | 37¢ | $3.6K |
| Below 4.75% | 36% | ▼ 3 | 12¢ | 34¢ | $1.6K |
| Below 4.80% | 36% | ▼ 3 | 13¢ | 27¢ | $1.0K |
| Below 4.83% | 36% | ▼ 4 | 11¢ | 44¢ | $1.4K |
| Below 4.86% | 36% | ▼ 14 | 25¢ | 61¢ | $360 |
| Below 4.89% | 36% | ▲ 6 | 23¢ | 62¢ | $242 |
| Below 4.92% | 36% | ▲ 7 | 41¢ | 70¢ | $510 |
| Below 4.95% | 36% | ▲ 11 | 48¢ | 80¢ | $911 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
4.98%median
4.83%5.27%
Median 4.98%Middle half 4.91% – 5.07%Above today's price 40%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.21%median
4.95%5.4%
Median 5.21%Above today's price —
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
5%Below 4.00%
3.9%4.55%
Above today's price —
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
4.98%median
4.83%5.15%
Median 4.98%Middle half 4.93% – 5.02%Above today's price 25%
SOFR for October 9, 2026
3.87%median
3.85%3.92%
Median 3.87%Middle half 3.87% – 3.87%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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