30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 5, 2026?

Kalshi Closed today 3:30 PM ET · 1.8K contracts

Settled 5.25%A day before, traders had a median of 5.25%

The last odds before it closed

5.26%median
5.13%5.45%
Median 5.26%Middle half 5.24% – 5.27%

How the odds have moved

Median: 5.25% on Nov 5, 5.26% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Contracts
✓ 5.16% or above 100% 49.00
✓ 5.18% or above 100% 99.00
✓ 5.2% or above 99% 49.00
✓ 5.22% or above 98% 134
✓ 5.24% or above 83% 698
✗ 5.26% or above 64% 150
✗ 5.28% or above 31% 431
✗ 5.3% or above 1% 235
✗ 5.32% or above 1%
✗ 5.34% or above 1%
✗ 5.36% or above 1%
✗ 5.38% or above 1%
✗ 5.4% or above 1%
✗ 5.42% or above 1%
✗ 5.44% or above 1%

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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