30Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Fri 3:30 PM ET · 2.9K contracts · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

5.26%median
30Y Yield now 5.251 −0.59%
5.19%5.45%
Median 5.26%Middle half 5.22% – 5.32%Above today's price 56%

How the odds have moved

Median: 5.3% on Nov 4, 5.26% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
5.22% or above 77% ▼ 9 62¢ 88¢ 200
5.24% or above 74% 51¢ 75¢ 100
5.26% or above 57% ▼ 23 43¢ 55¢ 949
5.28% or above 43% ▼ 23 27¢ 48¢ 911
5.32% or above 43% 5¢ 27¢ 100
5.34% or above 14% ▼ 23 1¢ 17¢ 240
5.36% or above 8% 12¢ 67.00
5.38% or above 5% 9¢
5.4% or above 3% ▼ 4 6¢ 232
5.42% or above 2% ▼ 4 4¢ 67.00
5.44% or above 1% 2¢

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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