Texas crude oil production in 2026

Kalshi Closes Mar 31, 2027 · 200.8K contracts · prices read 67 min ago

The odds

5.78median
5.506
Median 5.78Middle half 5.74 – 5.84

How the odds have moved

Median: 5.78 on Oct 13, 5.78 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 5.6 million barrels/day 99% 98¢ 99¢ 54.2K
Above 5.7 million barrels/day 98% 97¢ 98¢ 52.9K
Above 5.8 million barrels/day 39% ▲ 3 38¢ 39¢ 45.8K
Above 5.9 million barrels/day 4% 3¢ 4¢ 47.8K

Related markets

All commodities & fx ›

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$97.64high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $97.64 and as low as $86.03.

  • Reaches $9569%
  • Reaches $10034%
  • Reaches $10514%
  • Reaches $1108%
  • Falls to $9085%
  • Falls to $8541%
  • Falls to $8018%
  • Falls to $757%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90, ↑ $90

CL=F−1.48%USO+1.91%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

$4,329high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,329 and as low as $4,075.

  • Reaches $4,30059%
  • Reaches $4,40028%
  • Reaches $4,50010%
  • Reaches $4,6004%
  • Falls to $4,10056%
  • Falls to $4,00031%
  • Falls to $3,90010%
  • Falls to $3,8006%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200

GC=F+0.53%IAU−0.67%GLD−0.63%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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