Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 9.4K contracts · prices read 76 min ago

The odds

461.8median
360650
Median 461.8Middle half 434.8 – 494.7

How the odds have moved

Median: 461.8 on Oct 13, 461.8 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
At least 370 98% 97¢ 99¢ 6.00
At least 380 98% 96¢ 99¢ 1.00
At least 390 97% 94¢ 99¢ 240
At least 400 93% 89¢ 97¢ 782
At least 410 92% 89¢ 94¢ 71.00
At least 420 88% 85¢ 90¢ 350
At least 430 81% ▼ 1 76¢ 85¢ 6.8K
At least 440 69% 64¢ 74¢ 65.00
At least 450 59% 55¢ 63¢ 78.00
At least 500 21% 18¢ 24¢ 4.00
At least 550 5% 3¢ 6¢ 1.0K
At least 600 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 5¢ 1.00

Related markets

All commodities & fx ›

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$97.68high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $97.68 and as low as $85.80.

  • Reaches $9569%
  • Reaches $10034%
  • Reaches $10514%
  • Reaches $1108%
  • Falls to $9087%
  • Falls to $8543%
  • Falls to $8019%
  • Falls to $758%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90, ↑ $90

CL=F−1.80%USO+1.91%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

$4,324high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,324 and as low as $4,075.

  • Reaches $4,30057%
  • Reaches $4,40028%
  • Reaches $4,5009%
  • Reaches $4,6004%
  • Falls to $4,10056%
  • Falls to $4,00031%
  • Falls to $3,90010%
  • Falls to $3,8006%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200

GC=F+0.49%IAU−0.67%GLD−0.63%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.