Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026
3.53Mmedian
3.05M3.60M
Median 3.53M
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Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q1 2027
The odds
1.03Mmedian
980,0001.56M
Median 1.03M
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.10M on Nov 2, 1.03M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 990 thousand | 67% | 62¢ | 71¢ | 100 | |
| Above 1000 thousand | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | 100 | |
| Above 1010 thousand | 55% | 50¢ | 59¢ | ||
| Above 1020 thousand | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | 138 | |
| Above 1030 thousand | 48% | 43¢ | 52¢ | 732 | |
| Above 1040 thousand | 42% | 38¢ | 46¢ | 132 | |
| Above 1050 thousand | 37% | 32¢ | 41¢ | 132 | |
| Above 1060 thousand | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | 132 | |
| Above 1070 thousand | 28% | ▼ 3 | 24¢ | 33¢ | 3.1K |
| Above 1080 thousand | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | 132 | |
| Above 1090 thousand | 20% | 15¢ | 24¢ | 132 | |
| Above 1100 thousand | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | 198 | |
| Above 1330 thousand | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | 198 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)
26%Norwegian Cruise Line
- Kenvue96%▼ 1
- AES31%
- Paramount Skydance30%
- Norwegian Cruise Line26%
10 more
- Alexandria Real Estate11%
- Brown-Forman9%
- Hormel Foods9%
- Skyworks Solutions9%
- Dow9%
- LyondellBasell Industries9%
- Solventum9%
- Hasbro9%
- Deckers Outdoor8%
- A. O. Smith8%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
74%Apple
- Apple74%▲ 11
- NVIDIA26%▼ 11
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 20, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20264%▲ 2
- November 16, 202610%▲ 7
- November 17, 202626%▲ 15
- November 18, 202626%▲ 8
8 more
- November 19, 202627%▼ 10
- November 20, 202651%▼ 6
- November 23, 202651%▼ 10
- November 24, 202652%▼ 16
- November 25, 202653%▼ 21
- November 30, 202658%▼ 24
- December 15, 202668%▼ 21
- December 31, 202672%▼ 17
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 10
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 13
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.92Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.92T.
- Reaches $1.5T81%
- Reaches $1.75T63%
- Reaches $2T44%
- Reaches $2.25T23%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B2%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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