Predictions › Commodities & FX When will South Bow announce a decision to build Keystone XL? Kalshi Closes Jun 30, 2028 · prices read 7 min ago
Sep 2, 2027 even chance by
Before Jan 1, 2027 11% Before Jul 1, 2027 41% ▼ 1 Before Jan 1, 2028 69% ▼ 1 Before Jul 1, 2028 72% ▼ 1
Before Jan 1, 2027: 11% on Oct 13, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
March 31, 2027 14% ▲ 1 December 31 14% ▲ 1 Reaches $4,500 50% Reaches $5,000 7% Reaches $6,000 2% Reaches $7,000 2% Falls to $3,500 11% Falls to $3,000 4% Falls to $2,500 1% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $98.85 and as low as $81.84 .
Reaches $95 69% Reaches $100 45% Reaches $105 30% Reaches $110 19% Falls to $85 68% Falls to $80 40% Falls to $75 20% Falls to $70 8% Already reached: ↑ $100, ↓ $90, ↓ $95, ↓ $90
$3.99 $4.42
Median $4.01 Middle half $4.00 – $4.01
January 31 15% ▲ 2 March 31 15% ▲ 1 November 15 15% November 30 15% ▼ 1 1 more
$2.40 $5.10
Median $3.80 Middle half $3.68 – $3.93
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on South Bow Corporation
Trading closes Jun 30, 2028 11:59 PM ET
Traded —
Prices read 7 min ago
Followed since Oct 13, 2026
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Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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