Government spending increase in 2026

Kalshi Closes Apr 1, 2027 · 11.1K contracts · prices read 60 min ago

The odds

$454.21Bmedian
$-48B$1.25T
Median $454.21BMiddle half $408.96B – $499.46B

How the odds have moved

Median: $454.11B on Oct 13, $454.21B now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
At least $1 billion 98% 95¢ 100¢ 62.00
At least $50 billion 97% 95¢ 100¢ 36.00
At least $100 billion 97% 95¢ 100¢ 28.00
At least $200 billion 97% ▲ 1 95¢ 99¢ 817
At least $300 billion 95% ▲ 1 91¢ 99¢ 1.5K
At least $400 billion 80% ▼ 12 75¢ 85¢ 3.2K
At least $500 billion 25% ▼ 7 21¢ 29¢ 3.5K
At least $750 billion 10% ▼ 1 6¢ 14¢ 1.4K
At least $1 trillion 5% 1¢ 10¢ 582

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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