How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? (Before 2029)

Kalshi Closes Mar 31, 2029 · 91.6K contracts · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

9%At least $1 billion
$-48$3,000

How the odds have moved

At least $1 billion: 8% on Oct 13, 9% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
At least $1 billion 9% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ 3.8K
At least 50 billion 9% ▲ 3 6¢ 14¢ 1.1K
At least 100 billion 9% 6¢ 14¢ 431
At least 150 billion 9% 5¢ 14¢ 144
At least 200 billion 9% ▲ 3 5¢ 13¢ 736
At least 250 billion 8% ▲ 3 4¢ 12¢ 35.8K
At least 500 billion 8% 5¢ 12¢ 12.5K
At least 750 billion 5% 2¢ 6¢ 9.9K
At least 1 trillion 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ 16.5K
At least 2 trillion 5% 2¢ 7¢ 10.6K

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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