Gold price on Nov 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

Kalshi Closes today 5:00 PM ET · 55.4K contracts · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

$4,127median
Gold now 4,136.30 +1.55%
$3,834$4,244
Median $4,127Middle half $4,102 – $4,150Above today's price 39%

How the odds have moved

Median: $4,142 on Nov 5, $4,127 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above $3844 100% ▲ 1 99¢
Above $3854 100% ▲ 1 99¢
Above $3864 100% ▲ 2 99¢
Above $3874 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3884 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3894 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3904 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3914 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3924 100% ▲ 4 99¢
Above $3934 100% ▲ 5 99¢ 19.00
Above $3944 100% ▲ 6 99¢ 24.00
Above $3954 100% ▲ 8 99¢ 24.00
Above $3964 100% ▲ 11 99¢ 19.00
Above $3974 100% ▲ 14 99¢ 14.00
Above $3984 100% ▲ 17 99¢ 14.00
Above $3994 99% ▲ 21 98¢ 523
Above $4004 99% ▲ 27 98¢ 394
Above $4014 99% ▲ 33 98¢ 99¢ 310
Above $4024 98% ▲ 38 97¢ 99¢ 135
Above $4034 98% ▲ 46 98¢ 99¢ 33.00
Above $4044 97% ▲ 52 96¢ 98¢ 217
Above $4054 97% ▲ 59 96¢ 97¢ 952
Above $4064 95% ▲ 63 94¢ 95¢ 3.4K
Above $4074 92% ▲ 67 91¢ 93¢ 636
Above $4084 91% ▲ 71 90¢ 91¢ 2.9K
Above $4094 83% ▲ 67 82¢ 84¢ 1.8K
Above $4104 73% ▲ 61 72¢ 73¢ 1.3K
Above $4114 64% ▲ 55 63¢ 65¢ 3.6K
Above $4124 53% ▲ 46 52¢ 54¢ 7.0K
Above $4134 42% ▲ 37 41¢ 42¢ 17.4K
Above $4144 31% ▲ 27 30¢ 31¢ 3.4K
Above $4154 22% ▲ 19 21¢ 23¢ 3.5K
Above $4164 14% ▲ 12 13¢ 16¢ 1.0K
Above $4174 10% ▲ 7 9¢ 11¢ 926
Above $4184 7% ▲ 5 6¢ 8¢ 1.8K
Above $4194 5% ▲ 2 4¢ 6¢ 1.7K
Above $4204 3% ▲ 1 2¢ 4¢ 2.3K
Above $4214 2% 1¢ 3¢ 115
Above $4224 2% 1¢ 3¢
Above $4234 1% ▼ 1 2¢

More on this question

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of November 2 2026?

$4,174high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,174.

  • Reaches $4,15070%
  • Reaches $4,20028%
  • Reaches $4,25027%
  • Reaches $4,30027%
  • Falls to $4,05028%
  • Falls to $4,00015%
  • Falls to $3,95015%
  • Falls to $3,90015%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,050, ↑ $4,000, ↑ $3,950, ↑ $3,900, ↓ $3,950

PolymarketCloses Fri 5:00 PM ET · $13.0K traded
GC=F+1.55%IAU+3.67%GLD+3.68%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?

$4,287high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,287 and as low as $3,976.

  • Reaches $4,20076%
  • Reaches $4,30046%
  • Reaches $4,40027%
  • Reaches $4,50016%
  • Falls to $4,00055%
  • Falls to $3,90035%
  • Falls to $3,80013%
  • Falls to $3,7009%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,000, ↓ $3,900, ↓ $3,900

GC=F+1.55%IAU+3.67%GLD+3.68%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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