Etsy marketplace gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026

Kalshi Closes May 18, 2027 · 14.9K contracts · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

$10.94Bmedian
$10.55B$11.45B
Median $10.94BMiddle half $10.88B – $11B

How the odds have moved

Median: $11.03B on Oct 13, $10.94B now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above $10.7 billion 97% 94¢ 99¢ 1.3K
Above $10.85 billion 86% 1¢ 98¢ 3.3K
Above $11 billion 24% 1¢ 98¢ 5.1K
Above $11.15 billion 24% 4¢ 90¢ 2.6K
Above $11.3 billion 13% 8¢ 18¢ 2.7K

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.11Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.11T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T81%
  • Reaches $2T64%
  • Reaches $2.25T34%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B4%
  • Falls to $600B4%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 20, 2026even chance by
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20262%
  • November 16, 20268%
  • November 17, 20268%▼ 4
9 more
  • November 18, 202627%
  • November 19, 202638%▼ 4
  • November 20, 202657%▲ 2
  • November 23, 202672%▲ 8
  • November 24, 202675%▲ 4
  • November 25, 202679%▼ 2
  • November 30, 202683%▼ 4
  • December 15, 202690%▼ 4
  • December 31, 202692%▼ 2

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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