South African Reserve Bank Decision in November?
77%No Change
- No Change77%▲ 2
- 25 bps increase15%▲ 3
- 50+ bps increase7%▼ 1
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
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South Africa rate decision in November (Nov 19, 2026 meeting)
The odds
61%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate61%
- Hike 1-25bps22%
- Hike more than 25bps12%▼ 5
- Cut 1-25bps2%▼ 1
- Cut more than 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 65% on Oct 6, 61% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 61% | 65¢ | 88¢ | 218 | |
| Hike 1-25bps | 22% | 1¢ | 22¢ | 9.8K | |
| Hike more than 25bps | 12% | ▼ 5 | 11¢ | 22¢ | 1.2K |
| Cut 1-25bps | 2% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 50.9K | |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 15.0K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Bank Indonesia rate decision in November (Nov 18, 2026 meeting)
59%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate59%▲ 1
- Hike 1-25bps29%
- Hike more than 25bps6%
- Cut 1-25bps4%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%
Hungary rate decision in November (Nov 17, 2026 meeting)
98%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate98%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps2%▼ 1
- Hike 1-25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps1%▲ 1
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps<1%
Bank of Israel rate decision in November (Nov 23, 2026 meeting)
81%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate81%▼ 2
- Cut 1-25bps13%▲ 3
- Hike 1-25bps4%▼ 2
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 2
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Bank of Korea rate decision in November (Nov 25, 2026 meeting)
89%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps89%▲ 7
- Maintain current rate10%▲ 2
- Hike more than 25bps1%▼ 1
- Cut 1-25bps1%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
Poland rate decision in December (Dec 2, 2026 meeting)
77%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate77%▼ 6
- Hike 1-25bps15%▲ 7
- Cut 1-25bps3%▼ 1
- Hike more than 25bps3%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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