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Kalshi Closes May 18, 2027 · 7.4K contracts · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

387.2median
375405
Median 387.2Middle half 382.1 – 392.9

How the odds have moved

Median: 386.9 on Oct 28, 387.2 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 380 85% 84¢ 86¢ 2.1K
Above 385 61% 62¢ 88¢ 1.6K
Above 390 36% 35¢ 36¢
Above 395 18% 17¢ 18¢ 3.5K
Above 400 8% 7¢ 8¢ 250

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 20, 2026even chance by
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20262%▼ 1
  • November 16, 20268%▲ 2
  • November 17, 202613%▲ 1
9 more
  • November 18, 202628%▼ 1
  • November 19, 202647%▼ 6
  • November 20, 202666%▼ 3
  • November 23, 202669%▼ 3
  • November 24, 202677%▲ 2
  • November 25, 202686%▲ 4
  • November 30, 202688%▼ 2
  • December 15, 202693%▲ 2
  • December 31, 202695%▲ 2

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.17Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.17T.

  • Reaches $1.5T96%
  • Reaches $1.75T85%
  • Reaches $2T74%
  • Reaches $2.25T38%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B3%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

32%$1.75–$2.0T
  • $1.75–$2.0T32%▲ 3
  • $2.0–$2.25T23%▲ 2
  • $1.5–$1.75T17%
  • $2.25–$2.5T10%▼ 2
6 more
  • $1.25–$1.5T7%▲ 1
  • No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 1
  • <$1.25T3%▲ 1
  • $2.5–$2.75T3%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%
  • $3.0T+1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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