The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026

Kalshi Closes May 17, 2027 · 4.0K contracts · prices read 11 min ago

The odds

5.33%median
2.5%7%
Median 5.33%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.96% on Oct 13, 5.33% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 3% 99% ▲ 3 98¢ 99¢ 30.00
Above 3.5% 94% ▼ 1 89¢ 99¢
Above 4% 92% ▼ 1 87¢ 97¢
Above 4.5% 79% ▼ 7 29¢ 99¢ 1.3K
Above 5% 79% ▲ 27 18¢ 99¢ 758
Above 5.5% 36% ▼ 8 12¢ 92¢ 714
Above 6% 36% ▼ 58 33¢ 831
Above 6.5% 36% 2¢ 85¢ 341

Related markets

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 20, 2026even chance by
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20262%▼ 1
  • November 16, 20268%▲ 3
  • November 17, 202613%▼ 1
9 more
  • November 18, 202624%▼ 5
  • November 19, 202647%▼ 6
  • November 20, 202667%
  • November 23, 202669%▼ 3
  • November 24, 202679%▲ 5
  • November 25, 202684%
  • November 30, 202687%▼ 2
  • December 15, 202693%▲ 2
  • December 31, 202695%▲ 2

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.17Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.17T.

  • Reaches $1.5T96%
  • Reaches $1.75T85%
  • Reaches $2T74%
  • Reaches $2.25T38%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B3%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

31%$1.75–$2.0T
  • $1.75–$2.0T31%
  • $2.0–$2.25T21%▼ 5
  • $1.5–$1.75T17%
  • $2.25–$2.5T10%▼ 2
6 more
  • $1.25–$1.5T7%▲ 3
  • No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 1
  • <$1.25T3%▲ 1
  • $2.5–$2.75T3%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%
  • $3.0T+1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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