Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
66%Stripe
- Stripe66%▲ 3
- American Express35%▼ 3
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American Express headcount in fiscal 2026
The odds
77,217median
70,00081,000
Median 77,217Middle half 76,140 – 78,136
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 71 thousand | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | ||
| Above 72 thousand | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | ||
| Above 73 thousand | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | 45.00 | |
| Above 74 thousand | 94% | 90¢ | 98¢ | 1.4K | |
| Above 75 thousand | 89% | 85¢ | 92¢ | 2.5K | |
| Above 76 thousand | 78% | ▼ 1 | 75¢ | 81¢ | 6.3K |
| Above 77 thousand | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | ||
| Above 78 thousand | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | ||
| Above 79 thousand | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | ||
| Above 80 thousand | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above __?
$20.04Bmedian
$19.5B$21B
Median $20.04B
American Express cards-in-force in Q3 (cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026)
155.74Mmedian
154.00M159.50M
Median 155.74MMiddle half 155.43M – 156.06M
American Express cards-in-force in fiscal 2026
157.31Mmedian
155.00M164.00M
Median 157.31MMiddle half 156.51M – 158.81M
Largest Company end of December 2026?
77%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA77%▼ 8
- Apple21%▲ 7
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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