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How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 13, 2026?
The odds
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 5%.
- Reaches 5%54%
- Reaches 5.03%6%
How the odds have moved
Reaches 4.98%: 16% on Nov 9, 73% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.88% or above | 100% | 99¢ | 1.00 | ||
| 4.89% or above | 100% | 99¢ | |||
| 4.9% or above | 100% | 99¢ | |||
| 4.91% or above | 100% | ▲ 6 | 99¢ | 515 | |
| 4.92% or above | 100% | 99¢ | |||
| 4.93% or above | 100% | 99¢ | |||
| 4.94% or above | 100% | 99¢ | |||
| 4.95% or above | 100% | 99¢ | |||
| 4.96% or above | 100% | 99¢ | |||
| 4.97% or above | 100% | 99¢ | |||
| 4.98% or above | 100% | 99¢ | 294 | ||
| 4.99% or above | 73% | ▲ 39 | 63¢ | 75¢ | 750 |
| 5% or above | 70% | ▲ 47 | 57¢ | 70¢ | 391 |
| 5.01% or above | 54% | ▲ 21 | 55¢ | 69¢ | 337 |
| 5.04% or above | 6% | 55¢ | 200 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 13, 2026?
- Falls to 4.85%48%
- Falls to 4.84%8%
- Falls to 4.83%6%
- Falls to 4.81%6%
US 10Y Treasury yield at 1:15pm ET · 30Y Treasury auction (Nov 12, 2026 at 1:15pm ET)
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
- Falls to 4.84%23%
- Falls to 4.83%23%
- Falls to 4.82%22%
- Falls to 4.81%19%
Already reached: 5.04% or below, 5.03% or below, 5.02% or below, 5.01% or below, 5% or below, 4.99% or below
How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 5.08%.
- Reaches 5.05%60%
- Reaches 5.06%59%
- Reaches 5.07%56%
- Reaches 5.08%49%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?
- Falls to 4.82%23%
- Falls to 4.79%20%
- Falls to 4.76%17%
- Falls to 4.73%8%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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