Will USD/JPY hit __ in 2026?
31%↓150
- Reaches 165.0026%
- Reaches 170.0011%
- Reaches 175.009%
- Reaches 180.006%
- Falls to 150.0031%
- Falls to 140.0012%
- Falls to 130.002%
- Falls to 120.002%
Already reached: ↑160
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USD/JPY: Close Price End of 2026
The odds
156.58median
USD/JPY now 158.2920 −0.18% 130.00190.00
Median 156.58Middle half 150.89 – 164.18Above today's price 42%
How the odds have moved
Median: 156.51 on Oct 13, 156.58 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <140 | 11% | 2¢ | 19¢ | $536 | |
| 140-150 | 10% | 1¢ | 19¢ | $200 | |
| 150-160 | 44% | ▲ 3 | 35¢ | 50¢ | $2.5K |
| 160-170 | 24% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 24¢ | $3.0K |
| 170-180 | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $169 | |
| 180+ | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $233 |
More on this question
All commodities & fx ›USDJPY price on Oct 16 at 5:00 PM EDT (Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm ET)
43%Above 158.591
158.59158.63
Above today's price —
USD/JPY price on Oct 13, 2026 at 10am EDT?
158.36median
156.50160.25
Median 158.36Middle half 158.06 – 158.66Above today's price 56%
Bank of Japan rate decision in October (Oct 29, 2026 meeting)
93%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate93%
- Hike 25bps5%
- Hike more than 25bps1%▲ 1
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
1 more
- Cut 25bps1%▼ 1
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
66%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase66%
- No change31%
- 50+ bps increase2%
- 25 bps decrease1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?
103.10high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 103.10 and as low as 101.68.
- Reaches 103.0056%
- Reaches 103.5028%
- Reaches 104.0012%
- Reaches 104.508%
- Falls to 102.0069%
- Falls to 101.5039%
- Falls to 101.0017%
- Falls to 100.5010%
Already reached: ↑ 102.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 101.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 102.50, ↓ 102.00
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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