Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Polymarket Closes Dec 31 · $156.6K traded · prices read just now

The odds

7%Frontier Airlines
  • Frontier Airlines7%▼ 1
  • JetBlue7%
  • Allegiant3%
  • Alaska Airlines2%
  • American Airlines2%

How the odds have moved

Frontier Airlines: 7% on Oct 13, 7% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
Frontier Airlines 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 8¢ $37.1K
JetBlue 7% 5¢ 9¢ $28.2K
Allegiant 3% 3¢ 3¢ $38.5K
Alaska Airlines 2% 2¢ 3¢ $34.4K
American Airlines 2% 2¢ 2¢ $18.4K

Related markets

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
  • December 15, 202665%▲ 3
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 3

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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