American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3 (passenger load factor in Q3 2026)

Kalshi Closes Feb 18, 2027 · 100.5K contracts · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

84.6%median
83%88.5%
Median 84.6%Middle half 83.77% – 84.94%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 83.5% 87% ▼ 8 66¢ 82¢ 6.9K
Above 84% 65% ▼ 13 64¢ 65¢ 11.9K
Above 84.5% 57% ▼ 1 40¢ 55¢ 6.2K
Above 85% 21% ▼ 7 18¢ 24¢ 14.8K
Above 85.5% 7% ▼ 1 5¢ 8¢ 12.6K
Above 86% 5% ▼ 1 4¢ 5¢ 11.1K
Above 86.5% 4% 3¢ 4¢ 6.5K
Above 87% 3% 2¢ 3¢ 13.4K
Above 87.5% 2% 1¢ 2¢ 11.6K
Above 88% 2% 1¢ 2¢ 5.7K

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20267%▲ 3
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 1
2 more
  • December 15, 202665%▲ 3
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 4

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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