Already reached: ↑1550, ↑1500, ↓1400, ↓1350
Falls to 1,000: 10% on Oct 13, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ ↑1500 | >99% | ▼ 3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $73.1K |
| ✓ ↑1550 | >99% | ▲ 48 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $4.9K |
| ↑1600 | 9% | 6¢ | 11¢ | $1.2K | |
| ↑1650 | 7% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 9¢ | $696 |
| ↑1700 | 6% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $153 |
| ↑1800 | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $469 | |
| ↑2000 | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $47.6K | |
| ↓1000 | 10% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 19¢ | $429 |
| ↓1100 | 11% | 2¢ | 19¢ | $267 | |
| ↓1200 | 12% | 5¢ | 19¢ | $212 | |
| ↓1300 | 50% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | 90¢ | $132 |
| ✓ ↓1350 | >99% | ▲ 34 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $1.2K |
| ✓ ↓1400 | >99% | ▲ 45 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $7.2K |
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 103.16 and as low as 101.68.
Already reached: ↑ 102.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 101.50, ↑ 102.00, ↑ 102.50, ↓ 102.00
Traders see as low as 1.0988.
Already reached: ↓ 1.16, ↓ 1.14, ↓ 1.12
Already reached: ↑160
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.