Predictions › Stocks & companies Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on November 6? Polymarket Closes today 4:00 PM ET · $3.4K traded · prices read 7 min ago
$530 $590
Above today's price —
$540: 24% on Nov 6, 24% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Traders see as low as $522.50 .
Reaches $547.50 22% Reaches $555 21% Reaches $562.50 21% Reaches $570 21% Falls to $532.50 88% Falls to $525 61% Falls to $517.50 28% Falls to $510 11% Already reached: ↑ $555, ↑ $547.50, ↑ $540, ↑ $532.50, ↑ $525, ↓ $517.50
$420 $630
Median $536.38 Middle half $502.50 – $563.57 Above today's price 50%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $556.18 and as low as $502.50 .
Reaches $555 52% Reaches $570 33% Reaches $585 20% Reaches $600 8% Falls to $525 87% Falls to $510 60% Falls to $495 41% Falls to $480 41% Already reached: ↑ $555, ↑ $540, ↑ $525, ↓ $510, ↑ $525, ↑ $555
Microsoft 82% ▲ 5 Anthropic + OpenAI 18% ▼ 5
$2T $5.5T
Median $3.75T Middle half $2.87T – $4.62T Above today's price —
Apple 67% ▲ 8 NVIDIA 31% ▼ 9 Microsoft 1% Alphabet 1% 4 more SpaceX <1% Tesla <1% Saudi Aramco <1% Amazon <1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Pyth price feed
Trading closes Nov 6, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Traded $3.4K traded
Prices read 7 min ago
Followed since Nov 5, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
Every prediction market
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use . How to use Finance