Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?

Polymarket Closes Nov 12 · $2.3K traded · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

47%chance▲ 13

How the odds have moved

Yes: 66% on Nov 3, 47% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 25, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20261%
  • November 16, 20268%▲ 5
  • November 17, 202617%▲ 6
  • November 18, 202621%▲ 2
8 more
  • November 19, 202633%▼ 5
  • November 20, 202645%▼ 12
  • November 23, 202645%▼ 18
  • November 24, 202649%▼ 24
  • November 25, 202658%▼ 17
  • November 30, 202660%▼ 20
  • December 15, 202666%▼ 22
  • December 31, 202666%▼ 25

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$1.8Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.8T.

  • Reaches $1.5T83%
  • Reaches $1.75T55%
  • Reaches $2T31%
  • Reaches $2.25T19%
  • Falls to $800B8%
  • Falls to $700B2%
  • Falls to $600B1%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

28%$1.5–$1.75T
  • $1.5–$1.75T28%▲ 5
  • $1.25–$1.5T21%▲ 5
  • $1.75–$2.0T14%▼ 12
  • <$1.25T13%▲ 4
6 more
  • $2.0–$2.25T11%▼ 6
  • $2.25–$2.5T5%▼ 1
  • No IPO by December 31, 20275%▲ 4
  • $2.5–$2.75T1%
  • $2.75–$3.0T1%
  • $3.0T+1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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