Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $156.72.
Already reached: ↑ $150, ↑ $147.50, ↑ $145, ↓ $142.50, ↓ $140, ↓ $137.50
Falls to $140: 82% on Nov 4, 29% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ ↑ $142.50 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $149 | |
| ✓ ↑ $145 | >99% | ▲ 31 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $410 |
| ✓ ↑ $147.50 | >99% | ▲ 48 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $618 |
| ✓ ↑ $150 | >99% | ▲ 60 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $228 |
| ✓ ↑ $150 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.00 | |
| ↑ $152.50 | >99% | ▲ 20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $520 |
| ↑ $155 | 60% | ▼ 8 | 55¢ | 65¢ | $172 |
| ↑ $157.50 | 46% | ▼ 10 | 40¢ | 51¢ | $270 |
| ↑ $160 | 33% | ▼ 12 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $402 |
| ↓ $125 | 5% | ▼ 5 | 1¢ | 9¢ | $57.00 |
| ↓ $127.50 | 7% | ▼ 7 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $147 |
| ↓ $130 | 7% | ▼ 9 | 3¢ | 10¢ | $122 |
| ↓ $132.50 | 11% | ▼ 10 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $46.00 |
| ↓ $135 | 17% | ▼ 14 | 13¢ | 20¢ | $1.7K |
| ✓ ↓ $137.50 | >99% | ▲ 42 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $197 |
| ↓ $137.50 | 22% | 14¢ | 29¢ | ||
| ✓ ↓ $140 | >99% | ▲ 36 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $130 |
| ↓ $140 | 29% | 20¢ | 38¢ | ||
| ✓ ↓ $142.50 | >99% | ▲ 26 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $150 |
| ✓ ↓ $142.50 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.00 | |
| ✓ ↓ $145 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.00 | |
| ✓ ↓ $147.50 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $185 |
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $166.05 and as low as $132.39.
Already reached: ↓ $160, ↓ $155, ↓ $150, ↓ $145, ↓ $140, ↑ $140
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $281.95.
Already reached: ↑ $264, ↑ $256, ↓ $248, ↓ $248
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $359.43.
Already reached: ↑ $352, ↑ $348, ↓ $344, ↓ $340, ↓ $336, ↓ $332
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $564.01.
Already reached: ↑ $555, ↑ $547.50, ↑ $540, ↑ $532.50, ↑ $525, ↓ $517.50
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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