Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $228.75 and as low as $195.69.
Falls to $192: 52% on Oct 26, 38% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $216 | 77% | ▼ 8 | 73¢ | 80¢ | $38.00 |
| ↑ $224 | 69% | ▲ 10 | 39¢ | 99¢ | $380 |
| ↑ $232 | 37% | ▼ 11 | 23¢ | 51¢ | $187 |
| ↑ $240 | 35% | 11¢ | 35¢ | $1.1K | |
| ↑ $248 | 35% | ▲ 28 | 2¢ | 91¢ | $35.00 |
| ↑ $256 | 13% | ▲ 4 | 1¢ | 25¢ | $2.3K |
| ↑ $264 | 13% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 23¢ | $10.00 |
| ↓ $160 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $95.00 | |
| ↓ $168 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $55.00 | |
| ↓ $176 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $35.00 | |
| ↓ $184 | 34% | ▲ 22 | 4¢ | 63¢ | $36.00 |
| ↓ $192 | 38% | ▲ 12 | 30¢ | 46¢ | $793 |
| ↓ $200 | 64% | ▲ 6 | 52¢ | 76¢ | |
| ↓ $208 | 84% | ▲ 6 | 77¢ | 90¢ |
Traders see as low as $206.18.
Already reached: ↑ $216, ↑ $212, ↓ $216
Traders see as low as $205.20.
Already reached: ↑ $240, ↑ $232, ↓ $224, ↓ $216, ↓ $232, ↓ $240
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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