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October Inflation US - Monthly
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.78% on Oct 14, 0.27% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤0.1% | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $11.7K | |
| 0.2% | 34% | ▼ 2 | 31¢ | 33¢ | $6.2K |
| 0.3% | 44% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 43¢ | $9.1K |
| 0.4% | 10% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $11.0K |
| 0.5% | 3% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $1.5K |
| 0.6% | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $890 | |
| 0.7% | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $633 | |
| 0.8% | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $660 | |
| ≥0.9% | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $742 |
The same question on Kalshi
Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The same question on Kalshi
CPI in October (exact value) (In Oct 2026)
Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
More on this question
All inflation & jobs ›CPI in November (In Nov 2026)
CPI in December (In Dec 2026)
Core CPI in October (In Oct 2026)
CPI YoY in November (In Nov 2026)
October Inflation US - Annual
CPI YoY in December (In Dec 2026)
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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