Predictions › Stocks & companies Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 13? Polymarket Closes today 4:00 PM ET · $209 traded · prices read 23 min ago
$510 $570
Median $543.37 Middle half $536.11 – $548.17 Above today's price 62%
Median: $538.56 on Oct 13, $543.37 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $552.78 .
Reaches $547.50 75% Reaches $555 40% Reaches $562.50 17% Reaches $570 8% Falls to $532.50 44% Falls to $525 19% Falls to $517.50 9% Falls to $510 9% Already reached: ↑ $540, ↓ $540
$480 $590
Median $533.28 Middle half $489.84 – $549.66 Above today's price 39%
$420 $630
Median $539.63 Middle half $511.25 – $594.20 Above today's price 49%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $568.22 and as low as $515.74 .
Reaches $555 76% Reaches $570 47% Reaches $585 31% Reaches $600 17% Falls to $525 66% Falls to $510 40% Falls to $495 23% Falls to $480 13% Already reached: ↑ $540, ↑ $525, ↑ $510, ↓ $525, ↓ $525, ↓ $525
Microsoft 74% ▲ 1 Anthropic + OpenAI 26% ▼ 1
$2T $5.5T
Median $3.75T Middle half $2.87T – $4.62T Above today's price —
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Pyth price feed
Trading closes Oct 13, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Traded $209 traded
Prices read 23 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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