Bitcoin above ___ on October 15?

Polymarket Closes Thu 12:00 PM ET · $92.3K traded · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

$70,000$94,000
Median $83,631Middle half $82,092 – $85,382Above today's price 51%

How the odds have moved

Median: $83,265 on Oct 13, $83,631 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
72,000 >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $3.9K
74,000 99% 99¢ 100¢ $4.0K
76,000 99% 99¢ 99¢ $10.9K
78,000 98% 98¢ 99¢ $9.0K
80,000 94% ▲ 2 93¢ 94¢ $11.7K
82,000 77% ▼ 2 76¢ 77¢ $4.0K
84,000 44% ▼ 7 43¢ 45¢ $19.9K
86,000 17% ▼ 7 16¢ 17¢ $4.0K
88,000 5% ▼ 3 5¢ 5¢ $6.6K
90,000 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 1¢ $14.8K
92,000 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 1¢ $3.7K

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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