How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

Kalshi Closes Jan 1, 2027 · 644.8K contracts · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

5%Above 91,500 MW
91,000100,000

How the odds have moved

Above 91,500 MW: 5% on Oct 13, 5% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 91,500 MW 5% ▲ 1 4¢ 5¢ 177.4K
Above 92,000 MW 4% 3¢ 4¢ 137.7K
Above 92,500 MW 4% 3¢ 4¢ 79.1K
Above 93,000 MW 3% 2¢ 3¢ 79.3K
Above 94,000 MW 3% 2¢ 3¢ 86.0K
Above 96,000 MW 3% 2¢ 3¢ 45.2K
Above 98,000 MW 2% 1¢ 2¢ 40.1K

Related markets

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$97.93high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $97.93 and as low as $86.14.

  • Reaches $9572%
  • Reaches $10035%
  • Reaches $10514%
  • Reaches $11010%
  • Falls to $9082%
  • Falls to $8541%
  • Falls to $8019%
  • Falls to $757%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90, ↑ $90

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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