FDA decision: Ralinepag by United Therapeutics (on or before June 24, 2027)

Kalshi Closes Jun 24, 2027 · prices read 5 min ago

The odds

82%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 82% on Nov 3, 82% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 25, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20262%
  • November 16, 20264%▲ 1
  • November 17, 20266%▼ 5
  • November 18, 20268%▼ 11
8 more
  • November 19, 202620%▼ 17
  • November 20, 202638%▼ 19
  • November 23, 202649%▼ 16
  • November 24, 202649%▼ 20
  • November 25, 202661%▼ 13
  • November 30, 202665%▼ 20
  • December 15, 202674%▼ 14
  • December 31, 202679%▼ 10

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

24%$1.5–$1.75T
  • $1.5–$1.75T24%
  • $1.75–$2.0T21%▼ 2
  • $1.25–$1.5T16%
  • $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
  • <$1.25T13%▲ 4
  • $2.25–$2.5T5%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T2%
  • $2.75–$3.0T1%
  • $3.0T+<1%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2T.

  • Reaches $1.5T83%
  • Reaches $1.75T63%
  • Reaches $2T50%
  • Reaches $2.25T26%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B2%
  • Falls to $600B1%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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