Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4? (Q4 2026)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 5.3K contracts · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

84%Deckers Outdoor
  • Deckers Outdoor84%
  • The Cooper Companies79%
  • The Carlyle Group78%
  • DICK'S Sporting Goods77%
  • Fidelity National Financial77%
  • McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares)75%
  • Watsco56%
  • United Airlines Holdings4%▼ 4

How the odds have moved

The Cooper Companies: 66% on Oct 1, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Deckers Outdoor 84% 74¢ 88¢ 745
The Cooper Companies 79% 70¢ 84¢ 738
The Carlyle Group 78% 67¢ 81¢ 1.0K
DICK'S Sporting Goods 77% 68¢ 81¢ 823
Fidelity National Financial 77% 67¢ 81¢ 787
McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares) 75% 67¢ 81¢ 404
Watsco 56% 75¢ 88¢ 737
United Airlines Holdings 4% ▼ 4 11¢ 22.00

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 25, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20262%
  • November 16, 20264%▲ 1
  • November 17, 20265%▼ 6
  • November 18, 20269%▼ 10
8 more
  • November 19, 202620%▼ 16
  • November 20, 202637%▼ 21
  • November 23, 202646%▼ 22
  • November 24, 202647%▼ 22
  • November 25, 202656%▼ 18
  • November 30, 202664%▼ 18
  • December 15, 202669%▼ 19
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 18

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

24%$1.5–$1.75T
  • $1.5–$1.75T24%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T22%▼ 5
  • $1.25–$1.5T16%▲ 5
  • $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
  • <$1.25T13%▲ 3
  • $2.25–$2.5T4%▼ 1
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 2
  • $2.5–$2.75T2%
  • $2.75–$3.0T1%
  • $3.0T+<1%▼ 1

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.01Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.01T.

  • Reaches $1.5T79%
  • Reaches $1.75T63%
  • Reaches $2T51%
  • Reaches $2.25T26%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B2%
  • Falls to $600B1%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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