Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
59.69Bmedian
54.00B61.50B
Median 59.69BMiddle half 58.98B – 60.20B
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Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q1 2027
The odds
13.27Bmedian
11.50B14.75B
Median 13.27BMiddle half 13.04B – 13.52B
How the odds have moved
Median: 13.27B on Nov 2, 13.27B now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 12 billion | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | ||
| Above 12.5 billion | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | ||
| Above 12.75 billion | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | ||
| Above 13 billion | 79% | 75¢ | 83¢ | ||
| Above 13.25 billion | 52% | 48¢ | 56¢ | ||
| Above 13.5 billion | 26% | 22¢ | 30¢ | ||
| Above 13.75 billion | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | ||
| Above 14 billion | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | ||
| Above 14.25 billion | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | ||
| Above 14.5 billion | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
69%Apple
- Apple69%▲ 10
- NVIDIA30%▼ 8
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20263%▲ 1
- November 16, 20268%▲ 6
- November 17, 202618%▲ 8
- November 18, 202620%▲ 1
8 more
- November 19, 202632%▼ 4
- November 20, 202641%▼ 16
- November 23, 202644%▼ 15
- November 24, 202651%▼ 17
- November 25, 202653%▼ 20
- November 30, 202662%▼ 20
- December 15, 202669%▼ 19
- December 31, 202671%▼ 20
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 10
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 13
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.87Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.87T.
- Reaches $1.5T77%
- Reaches $1.75T59%
- Reaches $2T40%
- Reaches $2.25T22%
- Falls to $800B7%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
29%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T29%▲ 5
- $1.25–$1.5T21%▲ 1
- <$1.25T13%▲ 4
- $1.75–$2.0T12%▼ 13
6 more
- $2.0–$2.25T12%▼ 5
- $2.25–$2.5T5%
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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