Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q1 2027

Kalshi Closes Aug 19, 2027 · 8.1K contracts · prices read 35 min ago

The odds

$248.28median
$207.50$267.50
Median $248.28Middle half $239.09 – $258.18

How the odds have moved

Median: $248.98 on Oct 27, $248.28 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above $212.5 98% 97¢ 98¢ 679
Above $217.5 97% 96¢ 97¢
Above $222.5 96% 95¢ 96¢
Above $227.5 92% 91¢ 92¢
Above $232.5 87% 86¢ 87¢ 1.1K
Above $237.5 79% 78¢ 79¢
Above $242.5 68% 67¢ 68¢ 3.4K
Above $247.5 54% 38¢ 53¢ 1.0K
Above $252.5 28% 24¢ 33¢ 1.0K
Above $257.5 27% 26¢ 27¢
Above $262.5 16% 15¢ 16¢ 867

Related markets

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 19, 2026even chance by
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20263%▲ 2
  • November 16, 20265%
  • November 17, 202613%
9 more
  • November 18, 202628%
  • November 19, 202652%
  • November 20, 202668%▼ 2
  • November 23, 202672%
  • November 24, 202672%
  • November 25, 202685%▼ 2
  • November 30, 202689%▼ 3
  • December 15, 202692%▼ 2
  • December 31, 202694%▼ 1

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.15Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.15T.

  • Reaches $1.5T96%
  • Reaches $1.75T84%
  • Reaches $2T70%
  • Reaches $2.25T38%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B4%
  • Falls to $600B3%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

33%$1.75–$2.0T
  • $1.75–$2.0T33%▲ 2
  • $2.0–$2.25T22%▼ 2
  • $1.5–$1.75T16%▼ 1
  • $2.25–$2.5T12%▲ 1
6 more
  • $1.25–$1.5T5%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 1
  • $2.5–$2.75T3%▼ 1
  • <$1.25T3%▼ 1
  • $3.0T+2%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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