When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Kalshi Closes Mar 31, 2027 · 2.6M contracts · prices read 76 min ago

The odds

Nov 26, 2026even chance by
  • Before Oct 17, 20261%
  • Before Oct 24, 20261%
  • Before Nov 1, 20262%
  • Before Dec 1, 202661%▼ 5
  • Before Jan 1, 202768%▼ 4
  • Before Feb 1, 202781%▼ 1
  • Before Mar 1, 202783%▲ 1
  • Before Apr 1, 202786%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Dec 1, 2026: 64% on Oct 13, 61% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026 1% 619.5K
Before Oct 1, 2026 1% 732.6K
Before Oct 10, 2026 1% 134.6K
Before Oct 17, 2026 1% 1¢ 69.2K
Before Oct 24, 2026 1% 1¢ 49.1K
Before Nov 1, 2026 2% 1¢ 2¢ 497.0K
Before Dec 1, 2026 61% ▼ 5 59¢ 63¢ 213.0K
Before Jan 1, 2027 68% ▼ 4 66¢ 70¢ 259.0K
Before Feb 1, 2027 81% ▼ 1 80¢ 82¢ 22.0K
Before Mar 1, 2027 83% ▲ 1 82¢ 83¢ 15.6K
Before Apr 1, 2027 86% ▼ 1 84¢ 87¢ 24.3K

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
  • December 15, 202665%▲ 3
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 3

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T24%▲ 6
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T10%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 2
  • $1.25–$1.5T3%▼ 1
  • $3.0T+3%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
  • <$1.25T2%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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