Largest Company end of December 2026?
67%Apple
- Apple67%▲ 10
- NVIDIA31%▼ 11
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Grindr average paying users in fiscal 2026
The odds
1.43Mmedian
1.40M1.52M
Median 1.43M
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.43M on Oct 13, 1.43M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.42 million | 67% | ▼ 1 | 62¢ | 71¢ | 15.00 |
| Above 1.44 million | 44% | ▼ 1 | 39¢ | 49¢ | 14.00 |
| Above 1.46 million | 24% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 29¢ | |
| Above 1.48 million | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 15¢ | |
| Above 1.5 million | 5% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 8¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20268%▲ 5
- November 17, 202617%▲ 6
- November 18, 202621%▲ 2
8 more
- November 19, 202634%▼ 4
- November 20, 202644%▼ 12
- November 23, 202644%▼ 19
- November 24, 202649%▼ 24
- November 25, 202659%▼ 17
- November 30, 202660%▼ 22
- December 15, 202669%▼ 19
- December 31, 202669%▼ 23
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
83%SpaceX
- SpaceX83%▲ 13
- xAI20%
- Anthropic14%▼ 13
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.79Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.79T.
- Reaches $1.5T83%
- Reaches $1.75T54%
- Reaches $2T31%
- Reaches $2.25T19%
- Falls to $800B8%
- Falls to $700B1%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
29%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T29%▲ 6
- $1.25–$1.5T21%▲ 6
- $1.75–$2.0T14%▼ 12
- <$1.25T13%▲ 4
6 more
- $2.0–$2.25T11%▼ 5
- $2.25–$2.5T5%
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 2
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $3.0T+1%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
AI bubble burst by...?
24%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20268%
- June 30, 202724%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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