First Solar module volume sold in Q1 2027
3,594median
2,2004,600
Median 3,594Middle half 3,282 – 3,977
Install
First Solar Gigawatts sold in fiscal 2026
The odds
16.9median
16.418.4
Median 16.9
How the odds have moved
Median: 17.4 on Oct 2, 16.9 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 16.6 GW | 70% | ▲ 1 | 65¢ | 74¢ | 448 |
| Above 16.8 GW | 57% | ▲ 1 | 52¢ | 62¢ | 200 |
| Above 17 GW | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | 415 | |
| Above 17.2 GW | 33% | ▲ 1 | 28¢ | 37¢ | |
| Above 17.4 GW | 20% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 24¢ | 1.9K |
| Above 17.6 GW | 10% | 6¢ | 14¢ | 1.1K | |
| Above 17.8 GW | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | 933 | |
| Above 18 GW | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | 4.00 | |
| Above 18.2 GW | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | 1.00 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
71%Apple
- Apple71%▲ 12
- NVIDIA27%▼ 9
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 14
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20264%▲ 1
- November 17, 20266%▼ 5
- November 18, 20267%▼ 12
8 more
- November 19, 202620%▼ 17
- November 20, 202638%▼ 19
- November 23, 202649%▼ 15
- November 24, 202649%▼ 20
- November 25, 202660%▼ 14
- November 30, 202664%▼ 21
- December 15, 202674%▼ 14
- December 31, 202679%▼ 10
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
24%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T24%
- $1.75–$2.0T21%▼ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T16%
- $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
- <$1.25T13%▲ 4
- $2.25–$2.5T5%
- No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2T.
- Reaches $1.5T81%
- Reaches $1.75T63%
- Reaches $2T50%
- Reaches $2.25T26%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B2%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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