Ford total vehicle US sales in Q1 2027

Kalshi Closes Jul 31, 2027 · 1.6K contracts · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

464,412median
440,000610,000
Median 464,412

How the odds have moved

Median: 464,118 on Oct 7, 464,412 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 450 thousand 74% 69¢ 78¢ 1.00
Above 460 thousand 57% 53¢ 62¢ 8.00
Above 470 thousand 41% 36¢ 45¢ 13.00
Above 480,000 34% 29¢ 38¢ 444
Above 490,000 26% 21¢ 30¢ 88.00
Above 500,000 17% 12¢ 21¢
Above 510,000 9% 4¢ 13¢
Above 520,000 4% 8¢
Above 530,000 4% 8¢
Above 540,000 2% 4¢
Above 550,000 2% 4¢ 1.0K
Above 560,000 2% 4¢
Above 570,000 2% 4¢
Above 580,000 2% 4¢
Above 590,000 2% 4¢
Above 600,000 2% 4¢

Related markets

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 25, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20263%▲ 2
  • November 16, 20268%▲ 6
  • November 17, 202621%▲ 10
  • November 18, 202623%▲ 4
8 more
  • November 19, 202632%▼ 5
  • November 20, 202641%▼ 16
  • November 23, 202644%▼ 17
  • November 24, 202648%▼ 20
  • November 25, 202652%▼ 22
  • November 30, 202658%▼ 24
  • December 15, 202668%▼ 20
  • December 31, 202673%▼ 18

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$1.9Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.9T.

  • Reaches $1.5T79%
  • Reaches $1.75T62%
  • Reaches $2T42%
  • Reaches $2.25T22%
  • Falls to $800B5%
  • Falls to $700B2%
  • Falls to $600B1%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

29%$1.5–$1.75T
  • $1.5–$1.75T29%▲ 5
  • $1.25–$1.5T20%▲ 5
  • <$1.25T13%▲ 2
  • $1.75–$2.0T13%▼ 14
6 more
  • $2.0–$2.25T12%▼ 4
  • $2.25–$2.5T6%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 2
  • $2.5–$2.75T2%
  • $2.75–$3.0T1%
  • $3.0T+1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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