When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

Kalshi Closes Dec 31, 2027 · 1.3M contracts · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

69%Before 2028

Before 202869%▲ 1
Before May 1, 202740%▲ 1
Before Apr 1, 202733%▲ 4
Before Mar 1, 202730%▼ 1
Before Feb 1, 202723%▲ 1
Before Jan 1, 202713%
Before Dec 1, 20268%
Before Nov 1, 20262%

How the odds have moved

Before 2028: 69% on Oct 13, 69% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Before 2028	69%	▲ 1	68¢	69¢	29.1K
Before May 1, 2027	40%	▲ 1	39¢	41¢	87.1K
Before Apr 1, 2027	33%	▲ 4	32¢	34¢	68.2K
Before Mar 1, 2027	30%	▼ 1	28¢	31¢	32.1K
Before Feb 1, 2027	23%	▲ 1	22¢	24¢	22.3K
Before Jan 1, 2027	13%		12¢	13¢	62.9K
Before Dec 1, 2026	8%		7¢	8¢	46.6K
Before Nov 1, 2026	2%		1¢	2¢	184.1K
Before Sep 1, 2026	1%				389.8K
Before Oct 1, 2026	1%				413.9K

Related markets

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Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 13?

$374.42median

$350$410

Median $374.42Middle half $370.25 – $378.58Above today's price 28%

TSLA−1.22%

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 12 2026?

$385.29high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $385.29 and as low as $363.75.

Reaches $382.5060%
Reaches $39034%
Reaches $397.5016%
Reaches $4057%

Falls to $37593%
Falls to $367.5068%
Falls to $36033%
Falls to $352.5014%

Already reached: ↓ $382.50

TSLA−1.22%

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 12 above___?

$374.11median

$350$420

Median $374.11Middle half $364.17 – $384.09Above today's price 39%

TSLA−1.22%

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in October 2026?

$400.43high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $400.43 and as low as $349.29.

Reaches $39074%
Reaches $40540%
Reaches $42025%
Reaches $43511%

Falls to $37569%
Falls to $36069%
Falls to $34543%
Falls to $33020%

Already reached: ↓ $375, ↓ $360, ↑ $360, ↑ $375, ↓ $375, ↓ $375

TSLA−1.22%

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of October?

$374.50median

$300$440

Median $374.50Middle half $348.57 – $405.50Above today's price 46%

TSLA−1.22%

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

669.8median

-1,00030,000

Median 669.8Middle half 198.1 – 2,333

TSLA−1.22%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.