Predictions › Stocks & companies Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 13? Polymarket Closes today 4:00 PM ET · $182 traded · prices read 20 min ago
$350 $410
Median $374.83 Middle half $370.52 – $379.14 Above today's price 31%
Median: $375.38 on Oct 13, $374.83 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $385.64 and as low as $363.87 .
Reaches $382.50 62% Reaches $390 34% Reaches $397.50 17% Reaches $405 8% Falls to $375 94% Falls to $367.50 65% Falls to $360 34% Falls to $352.50 14% Already reached: ↓ $382.50
$355 $410
Median $378.60 Middle half $368.10 – $392.18 Above today's price 51%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $401.21 and as low as $349.46 .
Reaches $390 83% Reaches $405 39% Reaches $420 22% Reaches $435 11% Falls to $375 68% Falls to $360 68% Falls to $345 43% Falls to $330 21% Already reached: ↓ $375, ↓ $360, ↑ $360, ↑ $375, ↓ $375, ↓ $375
$300 $440
Median $375 Middle half $348 – $405.26 Above today's price 47%
-1,000 30,000
Median 676.2 Middle half 200 – 2,391
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Pyth price feed
Trading closes Oct 13, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Traded $182 traded
Prices read 20 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use .