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The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 23.64M on Oct 13, 23.64M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 22.4 million | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | 1.8K | |
| Above 23.2 million | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | ||
| Above 23.3 million | 94% | 92¢ | 97¢ | 2.1K | |
| Above 23.4 million | 92% | 88¢ | 95¢ | 2.9K | |
| Above 23.5 million | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | 500 | |
| Above 23.6 million | 55% | 50¢ | 59¢ | 1.0K | |
| Above 23.7 million | 42% | 38¢ | 46¢ | 39.00 | |
| Above 23.8 million | 26% | 22¢ | 30¢ | 4.00 | |
| Above 23.9 million | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | 2.6K | |
| Above 24.0 million | 4% | 8¢ | 319 | ||
| Above 24.1 million | 3% | 6¢ | 272 | ||
| Above 24.2 million | 3% | 5¢ | 427 | ||
| Above 25.0 million | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | 100 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA79%▼ 8
- Apple19%▲ 4
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
- December 15, 202665%▲ 3
- December 31, 202670%▼ 3
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
- December 31, 202710%
- December 31, 202819%
- December 31, 202922%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
- $1.75–$2.0T24%▲ 6
- $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T10%▼ 1
6 more
- $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T3%▼ 1
- $3.0T+3%
- No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
- <$1.25T2%▼ 1
- $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.