Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1 (gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027)

Kalshi Closes Mar 5, 2027 · 11.2K contracts · prices read 31 min ago

The odds

$14.49Bmedian
$12.75B$15B
Median $14.49BMiddle half $14.12B – $14.69B

How the odds have moved

Median: $14.31B on Oct 2, $14.49B now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above $13 billion 96% ▼ 1 93¢ 98¢ 214
Above $13.25 billion 96% 93¢ 98¢ 202
Above $13.5 billion 90% ▼ 4 89¢ 90¢ 1.3K
Above $13.75 billion 88% 84¢ 91¢ 1.3K
Above $14 billion 82% 80¢ 84¢ 1.8K
Above $14.25 billion 68% ▲ 3 65¢ 70¢ 3.5K
Above $14.5 billion 49% ▼ 1 46¢ 52¢ 401
Above $14.75 billion 18% ▼ 8 16¢ 20¢ 2.6K

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)

11%Affirm Holdings
  • Twilio98%
  • Cheniere Energy32%
  • Astera Labs26%▲ 1
  • Affirm Holdings11%
31 more
  • Okta22%
  • Credo Technology16%▲ 1
  • Alnylam Pharmaceuticals14%▼ 1
  • MongoDB12%
  • SoFi12%▼ 3
  • HEICO9%▲ 1
  • Rocket Companies9%▼ 1
  • Southern Copper9%▼ 1
  • LPL Financial9%
  • ATI9%
  • Tradeweb Markets9%
  • Venture Global9%
  • TPG9%
  • Snowflake9%
  • Atlassian9%
  • Natera9%
  • Talen Energy8%
  • Zoom7%▲ 1
  • Curtiss-Wright7%
  • Toast7%
  • Cloudflare7%
  • Roblox6%
  • BWX Technologies6%▲ 3
  • SpaceX6%
  • Medline4%
  • CoreWeave4%
  • Circle Internet Group3%
  • Guidewire Software3%
  • Duolingo3%
  • Strategy (MicroStrategy)2%
  • Cerebras2%
TPG−6.70%TOST−0.88%TLN−3.89%TEAM−3.64%

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 25, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20262%
  • November 16, 20264%▲ 1
  • November 17, 20265%▼ 5
  • November 18, 20268%▼ 11
8 more
  • November 19, 202620%▼ 16
  • November 20, 202636%▼ 21
  • November 23, 202646%▼ 22
  • November 24, 202649%▼ 20
  • November 25, 202656%▼ 18
  • November 30, 202664%▼ 21
  • December 15, 202670%▼ 18
  • December 31, 202673%▼ 15

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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