How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Fri 3:30 PM ET · 7.9K contracts · prices read 40 min ago

The odds

4.94%median
10Y Yield now 4.986 0.00%
4.79%5%
Median 4.94%Middle half 4.91% – 4.97%Above today's price 13%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.92% on Oct 24, 4.94% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.79% or below 96% ▼ 1 92¢ 200
4.8% or below 96% 92¢ 245
4.81% or below 95% 90¢ 215
4.82% or below 95% 88¢ 200
4.83% or below 80% ▼ 13 86¢ 324
4.84% or below 79% ▼ 13 84¢ 99¢ 525
4.85% or below 79% ▼ 18 81¢ 97¢ 138
4.86% or below 79% ▼ 17 78¢ 95¢ 128
4.87% or below 79% 79¢ 94¢ 571
4.88% or below 79% ▲ 1 77¢ 95¢ 542
4.89% or below 79% 69¢ 94¢ 100
4.9% or below 72% 71¢ 82¢ 202
4.91% or below 69% ▲ 2 67¢ 97¢ 443
4.92% or below 67% 57¢ 84¢ 349
4.93% or below 62% 54¢ 80¢ 194
4.94% or below 31% ▼ 39 43¢ 68¢ 614
4.95% or below 30% ▼ 30 37¢ 56¢ 813
4.96% or below 30% ▲ 17 32¢ 47¢ 582
4.97% or below 13% ▼ 5 5¢ 33¢ 1.1K
4.98% or below 13% ▲ 6 8¢ 31¢ 479

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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