Iowa Senate Race 2026

Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Ashley Hinson, Josh Turek.

Prediction markets

  • Iowa Senate winner? (In 2026)Kalshi
    • Ashley Hinson59%▲2
    • Josh Turek42%▼1
    4.9M contracts traded · closes Nov 3, 2027 · updated 2h ago
  • Iowa Senate Election WinnerPolymarket
    • Ashley Hinson (R)59%
    • Josh Turek (D)43%
    $873K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 1m ago
  • Iowa Senate winner? (Person) (In 2026)Kalshi
    • Ashley Hinson60%▲1
    • Josh Turek41%▼3
    39K contracts traded · closes Nov 3, 2027 · updated 8h ago
  • Iowa Governor-Senate combo (Before Nov 2026)Kalshi
    • Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win52%
    • Rob Sand and Josh Turek win41%▼1
    • Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win10%▼1
    • Zach Lahn and Josh Turek win1%
    70K contracts traded · closes Nov 3, 2027 · updated 1h ago
  • Iowa Senate and Governor ComboPolymarket
    • Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate46%▼4
    • Dems sweep41%
    • Reps sweep11%▲1
    • Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate2%
    $27K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 1m ago
  • Iowa Senate Election: TurnoutPolymarket
    • 1.45M-1.5M40%▲14
    • 1.4M-1.45M21%
    • <1.2M14%▼5
    • 1.3M-1.35M10%▲1
    • 1.35M-1.4M10%▼3
    • 1.5M-1.55M8%▼1
    • + 3 more outcomes
    $13K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 1m ago
  • Iowa Senate Election Margin of VictoryPolymarket
    • Turek 0-3%36%▲3
    • Hinson 0-3%24%▼1
    • Hinson 3-6%15%▲1
    • Turek 12%+8%▲4
    • Hinson 6-9%8%▲2
    • Turek 3-6%7%
    • + 4 more outcomes
    $11K traded · closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 1m ago
  • Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?Polymarket
    • Iowa79%▲14
    • Maine21%
    closes Nov 3, 2026 · updated 1h ago

Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.

In the news

No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.

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