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Alaska Senate Race 2026
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Mary Peltola, Sen. Dan Sullivan, Ann Diener.
Prediction markets
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- Democratic party73%▼1
- Republican party27%
- Alaska Senate Election WinnerPolymarket
- Mary Peltola73%▲1
- Sen. Dan Sullivan28%▼1
- Ann Diener<1%
- Dustin Darden<1%
- Richard Grayson<1%
- Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.<1%
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- Democrats sweep66%
- Republicans sweep21%▲2
- Democratic Governor, Republican Senator10%▲3
- Republican Governor, Democratic Senator5%
- Alaska Senate and Governor ComboPolymarket
- Dems sweep70%
- Reps sweep20%▲1
- Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate9%▲1
- Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate5%▼1
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- 275K-290K30%▲11
- 320K+30%▲11
- 305K-320K23%▲6
- 290K-305K17%▼6
- 260K-275K7%▼5
- 230K-245K<1%
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- Peltola 0-3%28%
- Sullivan 0-3%22%▲1
- Peltola 3-6%21%▼4
- Sullivan 3-6%11%▼2
- Peltola 6-9%7%
- Sullivan 6-9%7%▼2
- + 4 more outcomes
- Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?Polymarket
- Texas75%
- Alaska25%▼1
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- Texas US Senate54%▼4
- Alaska US Senate42%
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
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