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Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
The odds
82%Morgan Stanley
- Morgan Stanley82%
- Goldman Sachs16%
- Citigroup1%
- Barclays1%
- Wells Fargo1%
- JPMorgan<1%
- Bank of America<1%
- UBS<1%
- Deutsche Bank<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 82% | 82¢ | 83¢ | $23.0K | |
| Goldman Sachs | 16% | 16¢ | 16¢ | $24.3K | |
| Citigroup | 1% | 1¢ | $5.7K | ||
| Barclays | 1% | 1¢ | $4.4K | ||
| Wells Fargo | 1% | 1¢ | $3.7K | ||
| JPMorgan | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $12.2K | |
| Bank of America | <1% | 0¢ | $6.1K | ||
| UBS | <1% | 0¢ | $4.5K | ||
| Deutsche Bank | <1% | 0¢ | $5.2K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › $1.35Bmedian
$1.1B$1.7B
Median $1.35B
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?
71%chance▲ 11
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
2%Bank of America
- RBC3%
- BNP Paribas3%
- Truist3%
- Bank of America2%
15 more
- Goldman Sachs3%
- US Bank3%
- BNY3%
- Wells Fargo3%
- KeyBank3%
- Morgan Stanley2%
- Deutsche Bank2%
- Citigroup2%
- Santander2%
- BMO2%
- JPMorgan Chase2%
- HSBC2%
- Scotiabank2%▼ 1
- Lloyds1%
- UBS1%
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
<1%Bank of America
- Goldman Sachs76%
- Morgan Stanley22%
- JPMorgan<1%
- Bank of America<1%
5 more
- Citigroup<1%
- Barclays<1%
- UBS<1%
- Deutsche Bank<1%
- Wells Fargo<1%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
80%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA80%▼ 5
- Apple17%▲ 3
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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