Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above __?

Polymarket Closes Oct 21 · $1.4K traded · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

$7.56Bmedian
$7.2B$8.1B
Median $7.56BMiddle half $7.4B – $7.93B

How the odds have moved

Median: $7.53B on Oct 13, $7.56B now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
$7.35B 82% 81¢ 83¢ $340
$7.5B 61% 54¢ 68¢ $313
$7.65B 34% 31¢ 36¢ $100
$7.8B 30% 29¢ 31¢ $201
$7.95B 24% 23¢ 25¢ $442

Related markets

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20267%▲ 3
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 1
2 more
  • December 15, 202665%▲ 3
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 4

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T23%▲ 7
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 2
  • $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 3
  • $1.25–$1.5T3%
  • $3.0T+3%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 2
  • <$1.25T2%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.