What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31?

Polymarket Closes Nov 1 · $5.5K traded · prices read 5 min ago

The odds

  • Falls to $3523%
  • Falls to $307%
  • Falls to $253%

Already reached: ↑ 40

How the odds have moved

Falls to $35: 22% on Oct 13, 23% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ ↑ 40 >99% ▲ 36 91¢ 100¢ $178
↑ 45 34% ▲ 4 10¢ 25¢ $2.2K
↑ 50 34% ▲ 36 3¢ 33¢ $547
↑ 55 14% ▼ 1 9¢ 18¢ $1.1K
↑ 60 7% 3¢ 10¢ $173
↑ 70 7% 4¢ 10¢ $341
↓ 25 3% 1¢ 5¢ $217
↓ 30 7% 2¢ 12¢ $173
↓ 35 23% ▲ 10 4¢ 41¢ $654

More on this question

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What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

$87,456high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $87,456 and as low as $79,323.

  • Reaches $85,00078%
  • Reaches $87,50050%
  • Reaches $90,00033%
  • Reaches $92,50019%
  • Falls to $80,00056%
  • Falls to $77,50033%
  • Falls to $75,00021%
  • Falls to $72,50012%

Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000, ↓ 85,000

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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