7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
5.09%median
4.93%5.31%
Median 5.09%Middle half 5.02% – 5.18%
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2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
The odds
4.77%median
4.6%4.9%
Median 4.77%Middle half 4.71% – 4.84%
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.77% on Oct 13, 4.77% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.63% or above | 93% | ▼ 7 | 85¢ | 94¢ | 300 |
| 4.65% or above | 93% | 79¢ | 93¢ | 217 | |
| 4.75% or above | 68% | ▲ 4 | 54¢ | 65¢ | 17.00 |
| 4.77% or above | 53% | ▼ 5 | 48¢ | 58¢ | 1.00 |
| 4.79% or above | 47% | ▼ 4 | 42¢ | 51¢ | |
| 4.81% or above | 39% | 35¢ | 43¢ | ||
| 4.83% or above | 31% | 28¢ | 33¢ | ||
| 4.85% or above | 25% | 22¢ | 27¢ | ||
| 4.87% or above | 21% | ▲ 2 | 16¢ | 25¢ | 388 |
| 4.89% or above | 12% | ▼ 2 | 9¢ | 14¢ | 559 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
4.77%median
4.63%4.95%
Median 4.77%Middle half 4.74% – 4.8%
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 13, 2026?
5.09%median
4.98%5.3%
Median 5.09%Middle half 5.06% – 5.18%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
4.94%median
4.83%5.35%
Median 4.94%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?
37%Below 4.40%
4.35%4.76%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.08%median
4.8%5.8%
Median 5.08%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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