China unemployment rate in September (China UE Sep 2026)
5.06%median
4.7%5.9%
Median 5.06%Middle half 5.03% – 5.09%
Install
Mexico unemployment rate in September (Mexico UE Sep 2026)
The odds
2.98%median
2.5%3.5%
Median 2.98%Middle half 2.86% – 3.1%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.98% on Oct 13, 2.98% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.6% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | 200 | |
| Above 2.7% | 87% | ▼ 8 | 81¢ | 89¢ | 224 |
| Above 2.8% | 87% | ▲ 7 | 86¢ | 91¢ | 325 |
| Above 2.9% | 68% | ▲ 2 | 63¢ | 73¢ | 268 |
| Above 3.0% | 45% | ▼ 2 | 41¢ | 48¢ | 230 |
| Above 3.1% | 25% | ▼ 5 | 20¢ | 29¢ | 493 |
| Above 3.2% | 11% | 10¢ | 12¢ | 627 | |
| Above 3.3% | 7% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 11¢ | 26.00 |
| Above 3.4% | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | 325 |
More on this question
All inflation & jobs ›Russia unemployment rate in September (Russia UE Oct 2026)
2.17%median
2%2.7%
Median 2.17%Middle half 2.11% – 2.24%
Australia unemployment rate in September (Australia UE Sep 2026)
4.6%median
4%5.1%
Median 4.6%Middle half 4.5% – 4.68%
Germany unemployment rate in October (Germany UE Oct 2026)
6.36%median
5.8%6.9%
Median 6.36%Middle half 6.31% – 6.43%
Canada unemployment rate in October (Canada UE Oct 2026)
6.5%median
5.9%7%
Median 6.5%Middle half 6.35% – 6.64%
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 (South Africa UE Q3 2026)
32.32%median
30.5%35.5%
Median 32.32%Middle half 32.12% – 32.64%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.