United Airlines passengers in Q3 (passengers in Q3 2026)

Kalshi Closes Feb 11, 2027 · 6.1K contracts · prices read 61 min ago

The odds

50.29Mmedian
47.50M52.50M
Median 50.29MMiddle half 49.72M – 50.64M

How the odds have moved

Median: 50.21M on Oct 13, 50.29M now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 47.75 million 98% 95¢ 10.00
Above 48 million 97% 94¢
Above 48.25 million 97% 93¢ 203
Above 48.5 million 96% ▼ 1 92¢ 99¢
Above 48.75 million 94% ▼ 2 90¢ 97¢ 31.00
Above 49 million 92% ▼ 2 88¢ 96¢ 104
Above 49.25 million 90% ▼ 2 85¢ 94¢ 334
Above 49.5 million 88% ▼ 2 83¢ 92¢ 467
Above 49.75 million 74% ▼ 4 69¢ 78¢ 359
Above 50 million 64% ▼ 6 59¢ 68¢ 1.0K
Above 50.25 million 53% ▼ 2 51¢ 54¢ 871
Above 50.5 million 35% ▼ 30 30¢ 40¢ 1.5K
Above 50.75 million 18% ▼ 1 13¢ 22¢ 340
Above 51 million 12% ▼ 3 7¢ 16¢ 416
Above 51.25 million 10% ▼ 2 5¢ 14¢ 205
Above 51.5 million 6% ▼ 2 2¢ 10¢ 112
Above 51.75 million 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ 10.00
Above 52 million 4% 2¢ 6¢ 84.00
Above 52.25 million 3% 6¢

Related markets

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
  • December 15, 202665%▲ 3
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 3

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.