Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 (restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026)

Kalshi Closes Mar 5, 2027 · 67.6K contracts · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

9.31%median
5%18%
Median 9.31%Middle half 7.97% – 10.34%

How the odds have moved

Median: 9.31% on Oct 13, 9.31% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 6% 95% ▼ 1 93¢ 96¢ 898
Above 7% 92% 90¢ 93¢ 640
Above 8% 75% ▲ 25 71¢ 78¢ 249
Above 9% 56% ▼ 2 54¢ 59¢ 6.5K
Above 10% 36% 35¢ 36¢ 6.1K
Above 11% 5% 4¢ 5¢ 12.6K
Above 12% 5% ▲ 1 3¢ 6¢ 5.2K
Above 13% 2% 1¢ 2¢ 3.6K
Above 14% 2% ▲ 1 2¢ 3¢ 7.3K
Above 15% 2% 1¢ 2¢ 2.6K
Above 16% 2% 1¢ 2¢ 5.3K
Above 17% 2% 1¢ 2¢ 16.6K

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20267%▲ 3
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
  • December 15, 202662%
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 4

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T23%▲ 7
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 2
  • $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T8%▲ 2
  • $1.25–$1.5T4%▲ 1
  • $3.0T+3%
  • <$1.25T2%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 2
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.